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Recovering backpacker, Cornwallite at heart, political enthusiast, catalyst, writer, husband, father, community volunteer, unabashedly proud Canadian. Every hyperlink connects to something related directly or thematically to that which is highlighted.

Tuesday, 21 May 2013

Michael Bryant calls the casino industry’s bluff (Michael Bryant)


 
Big ideas, beautifully written by a brilliant mind.  Wouldn't it be something if we could harness genius in a way that didn't let it consume those touched by it's fire?
 
 

Michael Bryant calls the casino industry’s bluff

“A casino is a factory of broken dreams — a scam for “recreational” gamblers, a shell game for taxpayers, and a rat trap for addicts”
by Michael Bryant on Tuesday, May 21, 2013 2:29pm
 
Casinos are best avoided for guys like me. Something was always too foreboding about them, like a mainstream, even highbrow way to ruin.
 
I always knew not to hang out in places with anything bright, shiny, ringing with promise, sirens of that next new experience even better than good bourbon with good company. Eventually, for the untreated addict, that self-protective fear erodes, and they stumble past lines once drawn in the sand, their brains starved for dopamine, their serotonin increasingly useless, their sanity long gone. More, more, more.
 
Casinos are just part of that lust for more: a little forbidden, a lot of booze, the allure of elusive jackpots, the escape imagined therein.

One fine spring, years ago, my then-wife Susan and I decided to turn the tables on Atlantic City. We’d stay at the Borgata Hotel Casino & Spa, but we wouldn’t gamble there. Oh no. We’d enjoy the discounted hotel rates, restaurants led by famous chefs, the elegant spa and the beaches on the Jersey Shore.
 
It was the worst holiday ever. When she complained about a minor injury, incurred on the premises, security guards showed up and waiver forms were pulled out; they seemed to fear litigation from this former Supreme Court of Canada law clerk and her Harvard lawyer husband. They eventually explained: People at their hotel hurled themselves down stairs to trigger lawsuits that might offset their gambling losses. There was a reason why you couldn’t open your windows in a casino hotel. Suddenly we felt like we were in a very strange place.
 
There was no way to go anywhere in that hotel without passing through the casino. On the way to and from our rental car, on the way to a restaurant, there was just no way to avoid those ringing bells and neon winks. The games, the slots, the pretty girl with a complimentary bourbon and soda, just like I liked it back then. (I stopped drinking in 2006, as I set out in Maclean’s for the first time last year, in an excerpt from my memoir, 28 Seconds.) Yes, I was indignant about these places, and yes, I wouldn’t let them fool me, but a few pulls on the slot machine couldn’t hurt, and I wouldn’t spend more than the $20 in my wallet and I wouldn’t go to that ATM that seemed to follow me, to get more cash, more chips, more tokens.
 
This was the biggest and fanciest casino in Atlantic City, making it one of the fanciest in the world, and still, in the morning, through my hangover’s veil, I could glimpse its fake, suburban feel.
A casino is a factory of broken dreams. It’s a scam for “recreational” gamblers, a shell game for taxpayers, and a rat trap for addicts. Walk this factory floor on a weekday afternoon; it will be, as Toronto Councillor Denzil Minnan-Wong said of the Woodbine slots, “the saddest thing you’ll ever see.”
 
They design casinos like a 3D movie but not everyone gets to wear the glasses—only the dealers, the managers, all the shills, and once in a blue moon, a winner.
 
So maybe you’re cool, flush, and the allure of getting to wear those 3D glasses is enough for you. Except that by the time you finish reading this, you’ll feel like you’ve been pick-pocketed by your government, and they’ve been pick-pocketed by the casino industry, which means, well, we’re all just a mark.
 
The so-called debate over a Toronto mega-casino is taking place in a parallel universe, as if a casino in the Greater Toronto Area might not happen. A casino is going ahead, regardless. The only blank to be filled in is the area code. Is the mega-casino complex going to be here or there in downtown Toronto, or in Markham or Vaughan?
 
Not Toronto, as of last week, when Mayor Rob Ford pronounced “dead” his dream of a waterfront casino, and the Ontario finance minister fired the chair of Ontario Lottery and Gaming (OLG), the self-described “largest gaming organization in North America.” But that just moves the new mega-casino a little north of Lake Ontario. The Ontario government shifted leadership and direction at OLG last week, by firing its leader, Paul Godfrey. But they are still budgeting for a 12 per cent increase in gambling revenue.
 
The deal is done. The casinos are coming. In fact, in less than a half century, Canada has gone from a jurisdiction that criminalized casinos and lotteries to one where provincial government treasuries see gambling dollars as their best bet for easy money. For the Ontario Treasury, gambling dollars now exceed boozing dollars by over a quarter of a billion.
 
When was this casino deal done? In July 2010, Finance Minister Dwight Duncan announced the Ontario government’s direction to OLG: “modernize”—i.e., privatize and double the money. Less than two years later, the casino plans for the GTA was announced. (My tenure in the Dalton McGuinty government predated the internal cabinet debate and external announcement.)
 
The brutal logic of the OLG privatization and expansion is that Ontarians are now counting on those dollars, rendering happy projects for which there will be a cornucopia of fingerprints.
 
Casinos incubate addictions, like old bread in a damp basement. One disbarred, ex-con of a friend gambled it all away, his life in ruins. I know too many guys who go there to die a little, guys and gals who took this roller coaster from frequenter of government liquor store and government slots or casino, buried under an avalanche of government advertising to drink and gamble more, to government-funded emergency room, detox centre, treatment centre, provincial jail, family court, welfare cheque and, tragically, right back into that Crown corporation to gamble and drink, or miraculously, into recovery and escape from that insanity. These poor suckers sunk themselves and then some saved themselves, but they were all more harmed than helped by this phony baloney about entertainment, casino jobs, tourism, and easy money for public goods.
 
Part of the con is the brilliant foundational work done by those in the casino industry who have gamed the debate to be about fuzzy social costs versus cold, hard economic benefits. Calling proceeds from a gambling enterprise “economic benefits” or “net profits” is being economical with the truth.
 
We have no idea how harmful casinos are, in terms of social costs, by way of suicides, poverty, addictions and the harm wrought. Nor do we have any idea about economic benefits, other than how much gets collected by provincial governments. More than $13 billion across Canada in 2010 was collected from gamblers, and all that can be projected because the games are fixed so as to produce billions in losses to gamblers hoping to strike it rich.
 
You don’t believe me? Read the fine print and weep. It’s called the “house advantage.” As Ontario Lottery and Gaming makes very clear in their companion website (KnowYourLimit.ca), “With the possible exception of professional blackjack players and some poker players … over time, every casino game played results in a loss or expenditure for the player … While any single bet can result in a win at any time, loss is inevitable in all casino games over time. No system of betting can overcome the house advantage.”
 
Think about that. You go to a casino to win, to have fun. OLG wants you there for another reason. They know you’re hoping to win, but they know you’re going to lose. They take those losses—those guaranteed losses, guaranteed by the house advantage that “no system of betting can overcome”—and OLG calls those gambling losses “net profit” in all their public statements.
 
OLG’s “net profit” is a fine piece of Orwellian gibberish. These dollars are obtained from the guaranteed losses incurred by the gamblers and lotto ticket buyers. So gambling “profit” is not like profit wherein a customer buys a movie ticket and the theatre owner earns a profit. There is no risk of loss to OLG; there are legally guaranteed losses by casino-goers. There is no “profit” for taxpayers in the distribution of (mostly) taxpayers’ gambling losses to the provincial treasury. Ontario Lottery and Gaming is just a tax collector with a light show and an advertising budget.
 
This is more crudely put by the “Mob’s accountant” and casino pioneer Meyer Lansky: “There’s no such thing as a lucky gambler. There are just the winners and losers. The winners are those who control the game … all the rest are suckers.”
 
Why are they suckers? Because Lansky is correct: gamblers lose their money to casinos because casinos control the games. The advertisements promoting casinos, and the bells and whistles on the casino floor, all tell you that this is fun and you might strike it rich. But these casinos are just taking your money, and that’s a dirty trick. This isn’t “net profit” for Ontarians. It’s easy money, dirty money, money for nothin’, as the song goes. The same goes for all the lotto money in Canada, and those shameless “Welcome to Cloud 6/49″ commercials running in Ontario.
 
Who are the suckers? Up to 50 per cent of pathological gamblers are alcoholics or drug addicts, making casinos a rat trap for drunks and junkies. I know it was for me, though I never had enough cash to do much damage to my wallet. Plus, I retained enough fear and sanity to keep me the hell away from those places for most of my life.
 
Nor are the suckers high rollers. In the U.S., less than 10 per cent of the healthy casino-goers make more than $100,000 a year. Most make less than $50,000, whether substance-abusing recreational gamblers or non-abusers. Let me repeat that: most casino-goers make less than $50,000 per year. So the suckers are more likely to be the working class, the underemployed and the unemployed. These are the people from whom OLG extracts the billions in net profit. This is how OLG can project billions of revenue for the Ontario budget, annually verified by the provincial auditor.
 
But that shell game, that legalized scam, is usually lumped into additional, so-called economic benefits to come from “modernized” entertainment gaming complexes, as bragged about by OLG on its website: “thousands of spinoff jobs in construction and infrastructure.” Unlike the billions of gambling losses guaranteed by the “house advantage,” the promise of jobs, tourism dollars and “spinoffs” are all speculative.
 
The former chair of OLG speculated about the economic benefits of a casino thusly: “This project will create 6,000 construction jobs … Once completed, the project will directly employ over 12,000 people in well-paying jobs and … spur further creation of other indirect [benefits] and induce employment … It could generate up to $400 million in additional tourism revenue,” and “could propel Toronto into …. the Top 10 in overall convention business in the world.”
 
Maybe. But the private consortium that wins the bidding war for the GTA casino project will do so by keeping their costs down, to maximize profit, in exchange for the risk they will take in building, operating and maintaining the casino. So while the outgoing chairman wanted those job numbers up, the private consortium wants to keep costs down, which means less jobs and/or lower wages, to avoid less dividends and a lower share price.
 
A 2007 study in the American Journal of Economics and Sociology concluded that “the casino industry does not have an impact on economic growth at the state level.” So all the pro-casino boosterism about economic development is either bogus or questionable. It is far from clear that casinos boost an economy, even leaving aside the social costs, and also leaving aside the pressure that casinos put on other entertainment industries.
 
Even the gaming revenues themselves are not necessarily a net benefit to Ontario’s economy. “There are two simple questions: Where does the money come from, and where does the money go?” says William Thomson, a professor of public administration at the University of Nevada in Las Vegas, in a 2007 Wall Street Journal article. “If the customers live in the local area, there’s no way you can have economic development.” In other words, every Ontario resident walking into a casino is financing this phony profit from his or her actual losses.
 
Perhaps saddest of all is how so much will go into such a small, small idea. In the life of a government, there are only so many hours in the day; the time and resources are limited. When I look at all the hullabaloo around this gambling enterprise, I wonder what might have been. All this political energy and planning and public relations and all that lobbying; the campaigns, the fancy websites, the phony consultations, the maps, the requests for proposals and all the lawyering and accounting and consulting; the political commentary, hand-wringing, bureaucracy reports and committee meetings and council debates; the financing and construction and hospitality job applications. All of this, for a casino.
 
But there is a better way, and now it’s time for me to stop kvetching and start offering something useful. Casinos are coming no matter what, no matter the government in power. So what to do? I say use the casinos, the slots, and bingo as social and medical science laboratories. Study who is going in and out of the buildings, everything about the gamblers, in every way imaginable. Let’s stop guessing about the social costs of casinos, and find out, using the leverage that comes with a state-sponsored project. Call the bluff of privatization and require casino operators to collect information about the gamblers and their behaviour.
 
As for the gamblers’ civil rights, this is the additional price they pay for access to a casino. If these places are really the bastions of “entertainment, innovation and fun games” that OLG says they are, then what’s the harm? It’s like showing ID at the LCBO. Or presenting your Scene card at Cineplex movie theatres. Instead of corporations collecting consumer information relevant only to their bottom line, they can collect information, available only to government authorities, to allow for research that is obviously in the public interest.
 
Ask any social science or medical researcher how they gather information for research purposes. They do it all the time. All those studies that make you veer from trans fats and toward kale; that make you slather on sunscreen; that led to the denormalization of tobacco usage, chasing smokers outdoors. Invite the University Health Network and the Centre for Addiction and Mental Health and all the universities in Ontario to submit proposals about how it can be done. There is already a measure of this happening right now. Just expand it and be ambitious.
 
Next, either ban all advertising for gaming, or split the advertising down the middle. For every “Cloud 6/49″ or pro-gambling ad, a contrary ad must be run, back-to-back. Or simply require that the advertising budget for provincial gaming corporations be matched by advertising run by a coalition of anti-gamers.
 
Next, let’s determine where the gambling “net profit” will be directed, unlike other forms of provincial government revenue. The anecdotal information on where the OLG dollars goes is just that. The truth is that the bulk of OLG revenue goes into Ontario’s consolidated revenue fund—the big budget pot.
 
Without that revenue, there would be a shortfall that exceeds the annual budget of many government ministries. But it’s still only two per cent of the annual spending for Ontario, so OLG “net profit” is primarily absorbed into a variety of spending priorities. Yes, there are the happy announcements referred to previously, but there is no direct accounting between dollars taken in from the gambler and dollars spent on the taxpayer. Fix that. Let’s determine where the dollars are to be directed, and then account for that.
 
Where ought the $2 billion be directed? Open source that question. Invite applications, not unlike the requests for proposals that will be issued for casino construction.
 
This has never been done before, on this scale, and that just invites innovation. The government can set forth broad priorities for the proposals, ranging from revenue generation to health care and education. Maybe add alternatives, like poverty reduction, transportation, energy, infrastructure, or even the settlement of all Aboriginal land claims. I would advocate for a government to really make this a signature piece. For Conservatives, they’d be less likely to call for proposals to increase welfare rates. For New Democrats and Liberals, they’d be less likely to focus on revenue generation, because it’s not exactly a retail political winner.
 
An example of a big, new innovative idea? Imagine that we could diagnose children for learning disabilities, cognitive conditions, and mental illness, by a blood test, or an affordable and accessible brain scan, right in their local public school. Then imagine that there was technology that assisted those students to address any cognitive or behavioural function that harms more than helps them to learn. Now let’s see the cost of having the appropriate tests in the health care system, the justice system, and other government services, that would allow any Canadian to have that same diagnosis: a blood test or brain scan that didn’t involve a waiting list and limited access. And that diagnosis could determine whether the person has the brain of an addict, a bipolar, or borderline personality. It could test for anxiety and depression as easily as we currently test for diabetes or AIDS or cholesterol levels. (Such tests exist, but are neither accessible nor affordable on a mass scale, let alone outside the doors of the health care system.)
 
Then imagine how the various sectors of health, education, and justice might transform correctional facilities into giant treatment centres. These people need treatment to go from addicted, mentally ill, at-risk convicts to recovering highly productive and low-risk citizens.
 
Now, commercialize that technology, that education curriculum, that correctional system program and that health care delivery model and you’re looking at a net profit on your investment of $2 billion. And when I say net profit, nobody blushes with anything but pride at the public achievement.
I bet that Ontario could do that for $2 billion per year, and then even develop a project that would allow state-sponsored gambling to be obsolete and unnecessary because that giant casino-turned-research project confirmed our worst fears, and outrage ensues because the actual social costs, the horror stories, indeed outweigh the overestimated economic benefits, and we forge a better way to raise $2 billion a year that could truly be called “net profit,” and then some.
 
But wait: governments can’t do that. They don’t do that. Consumer-directed taxation is bad public policy, we’re often told. The problem is that some seniors won’t pay an education tax if there is no one in their lives going to school any more. Nor would a twentysomething pay a tax directed at geriatric research.
 
However, governments pretend that gambling revenue is not a tax, but net profit. Even then, directing the profits from, say, Ontario hydroelectricity gains to particular programs is bad public policy. The difference is that the $128 billion that comes into government is nothing like the dirty money of OLG—an exceptional revenue generator, which deserves exceptional treatment. Plus, we’re talking about two per cent of provincial government revenue. Think of it as an experiment.
 
Besides, that’s exactly how lotteries were used in the first place, in Canada, and much of the world. Copying Munich’s 1972 GlücksSpirale (i.e., lottery, though literally “happy spiral”), the Olympic Lottery Canada was created in 1974 to finance the ’76 Olympics, then was continued as Loto-Canada to address the large debt left thereafter. A Criminal Code amendment was needed to legalize that lottery, the original idea being that lotteries were exceptional, and could finance special projects.
 
Eventually, of course, all provincial governments and territories became addicted to gaming revenue, so much so that since 1980 they make an annualized payment to the federal government to keep the feds out of lotteries. Loto-Canada was eating into provincial lottery revenue, so the provinces and territories bought themselves an oligopoly. Nevertheless, the original purpose of legalized gaming in Ontario, and the rest of Canada, was to finance the kind of special megaproject I’m proposing herein.
Moreover, OLG already directs a fraction of its revenue to a specific source: First Nations. In 2008, I negotiated an agreement with Ontario First Nations, on behalf of the government, to avoid the kind of rampant casino proliferation that dominates Native American economies in California, and several other states. The deal was that Ontario First Nations would partner with OLG, not compete with OLG, and they would abandon litigation claiming Aboriginal rights to gaming development (as exists in the U.S.), in exchange for a share of OLG revenue.
 
So OLG is already built to channel its revenue directly to particular Ontario sources, and it is subject to the kind of accountability the public deserves. Now, take that model, and use the dollars to fund this new open-sourced Ontario megaproject. A project for the ages, one that tries to eclipse in its public benefit and societal ambition, the shabby piece of public policy that is OLG “modernization.”
Now, that would be something. It would be something that neither embraces gaming’s inexorable expansion, nor denies the conventional wisdom that “gambling is inevitable,” as concluded by the U.S. Commission on the Review of the National Policy Toward Gambling in 1976. Or, as Mayor Rob Ford puts it, of a Toronto casino: “I don’t know how you can say no.”
 
Michael Bryant is a former Ontario Attorney-General, Minister of Economic Development, and Minister of Aboriginal Affairs, and was a Toronto MPP (1999-2009). A Harvard-trained lawyer, Bryant currently teaches at the University of Toronto, and is an aboriginal affairs consultant at Ishkonigan. He is the author of 28 Seconds: A True Story of Addiction, Tragedy and Hope (Penguin, 2012).

No wonder the polls have been wrong: The polling industry is in a crisis (Brian Singh)

 
Fortunately for the delusionally confident, none of this matters.  After all, they make up the rules as they go, so trivial things like the tearing of yesterday's tools and models at the seams is no biggie.
 
While they hibernate in their cave, though, the world is changing
 
Much like polling, there's a pattern emerging that anyone can twig to - they just need to expand their data net and be willing to connect some unconventional dots to see it.
 
 
 
What is going wrong with the polls?
 
Last week, after trailing in the polls right up to election day, the British Columbia Liberals won another mandate – a provincial election that the media and public are calling a “surprising” result. Now, we are amidst a host of pollster mea culpas and claims by some firms that they got it “less wrong than the others.” Herein lays a new problem for the media, politicians and the public: our faith in the accuracy of political polling.
 
First, let me disclose that I conduct public opinion research as part of my business, and have done political polling in the past. Personally, I have long regarded this collapse of faith as a looming problem, one that has become very serious over the last two years.
 
Political polling is traditionally a test of the accuracy of a public-opinion research firm. It is considered a loss leader (typically offered below cost), with the expectation that an accurate poll result will build a firm’s reputation and attract new and more profitable business.
 
Over the last decade this premise has changed dramatically. With the rise of the software-based polling methods – notably online polling using Internet panels of self-selected respondents, as well as interactive voice response systems (typically referred to as “robodials” by the public) – the cost of entry for new methods and firms has never been cheaper. Gone are the days of excellent response rates to telephone (landline) polls. And gone are the days of predictably engaging the public to garner its political inclinations.
 
We are in a new world – low voter turnouts, multiple communication technologies, social-media platforms, and the use by parties of geo-demographic targeting and sophisticated voter identification methods to find supporters. These have dramatically affected the political polling business, and pollsters have been slow to adjust or have failed to evolve their skills.
 
There is that old saying – “Fast, cheap and good. Pick two” – which is truly applicable here. While corporations typically choose a combination of fast or cheap with good, media outlets in recent years have always opted for fast and cheap. The business model of polls and the media has evolved. Media are currently either cash-strapped or losing money, and thus, in most cases, either do not pay for political polling or pay for access to polls already conducted.
 
There is the additional dimension of politicos and the media’s obsession with the “horse race.” Many column inches are taken up with the analysis of poll results and insights from pollsters (some of you may include this article in that category as well). While these stories do capture the pulse of an election, they do not take into account the overall election ecosystem and the body politic.
 
Let’s delve deeper.
 
After the 2012 U.S. national election, Nate Sliver, most likely the most famous political statistician at this moment, published an eye-opening analysis of all the polling data-collection methodologies and pollster accuracy rates. The findings were revealing – fast and cheap methods had larger respondent biases (by supporters of specific political parties) and were less accurate. Surprisingly, the best-performing poll was the Columbus Dispatch’s old-school mail survey. Over all, live telephone-operator and Internet-panel polls performed significantly better than robodials. These methods were better at establishing a more population-representative sample that captured the diversity of opinion and voting behaviour. However, they are also significantly more expensive than the cheap-to-operate, large-sample, conducted-overnight robodials. Clearly there is a tradeoff here.
 
This leads to three dimensions of polling itself:
 
1. The media and the parties are asking different questions.
Polling, in its cheapest form, focuses on the horse race. But elections are more than that. They are tests of political parties’ brands, the public’s confidence in the economy and their governments’ stewardship, and societal trust. Quality polling captures these elements, and how they wax and wane during the writ period. Quality polling also entails more in-depth, statistical analysis that addresses aspects such as tests of correlation and voter segmentation – aspects that Nate Silver and his more methodical contemporaries embrace.
 
2. Political war rooms use a variety of tools the media don’t.
There is an inherent misalignment between pollsters and party war rooms. Pollsters have polls. War rooms have polls, plus social-media monitoring platforms, feedback from their ground network, content analysis of media coverage, text analysis of editorials and public comments, as well as voter-identification systems. Pollsters mostly ignore this latter element, but parties are investing heavily in it. The Conservative Party of Canada uses CIMS, while others are using Obama’s platform of choice, NationBuilder. These platforms are meant to address a question rarely considered in the media: What is a party’s secure and confirmed vote? Polls are not designed to capture this data, but voter identification is playing a larger role in election outcomes. Some parties are clearly better at getting their vote mobilized and to the polls on Election Day. The Conservative Party of Canada’s 2012 federal majority is a testament to this.
 
Further, data triangulation – finding the best insights across multiple sources - has always been a skill amongst the best war room teams. It is no surprise that data scientists – those with triangulation, interpretation and communication skills – are much sought after by political parties. Their talents are becoming more useful than those of the traditional party pollster.
 
3. There is a consistent misalignment of voter intentions and voter turnout.
In most cases, answering a poll is not akin to actually voting. Polling exposes social desirability bias – I say I vote because it is the right thing to say, even if I don’t actually vote. Saying you want change and voting for change are independent events. This was evident in all of these “surprise” results. In my opinion, the real metrics that matter relate to the committed or intending voter. These are poll respondents who have a history of voting (themselves and in their family tradition) and intend to vote on election day. Based on my analysis, while it may result in a small respondent base with a higher margin of error, this group has been a better predictor of voter turnout. Observing this metric within the context of the recent BC and Alberta elections, there were warning signs that things turned for the eventual winner earlier than what most pollsters believed.
 
The current business model of the media overrides any quick resolution of the “fast and cheap” polling problem. It does, however, exacerbate the biggest problem for pollsters – one facing political parties and democracy itself: low voter turnout. B.C. is flirting with the 50 per cent floor, and Alberta saw turnout drop to 41 per cent in 2008. There is much research into this, but no matter what, the ranks of non-voters are growing, and no amount of suspect polling is going to answer these questions.
 
Brian Singh, the president of Zinc Research, is a political consultant based in Calgary.

Call Me Duffy






Everyone loves memes.  Everyone loves a good joke.  Nobody wants the individual to get ahead at the expense of everyone else.  Here's where all of that comes together:



I threw Wright in a well,
Don't ask Steve, he'll never tell
I winked at you as I fell,
'Cause still you pay my way

Traded my soul for a seat
Expensing life is a treat
There's no rap I can't beat
'Cause now you pay my way

I know the media'll waver,
Always Rob Ford to savour
Hot summer, next new flavour
And process is a toughy!

Hey, I don't live here,
But rules are stuffy;
You pay my way dear
So call me Duffy

It's easy to ignore you muffy,
Wright's got my back dear,
So call me Duffy!

And the Integrity Commissioner
May try to chase me,
But Wright's got my back dear,
Just call me Duffy

I pulled the wool o'er your eyes,
That was when? Man how time flies,
Now you've caught up with my lies,
But still you pay my way

I con, borrow and steal,
Taxpayer bucks have appeal,
consequences aren't real,
'Cause still you pay my way

I know the media'll waver,
Always Rob Ford to savour
Hot summer, next new flavour
And process is a toughy!

Hey, I don't live here,
But rules are stuffy;
You pay my way dear
So call me Duffy

I don't care,
If you're in a huffy,
Steve's got my back dear,
So call me, Duffy!

And the RCMP,
They try to chase me,
But someone's got my back dear,
That's why I'm Duffy!

Before the wagons protected me
I had integrity
I had integrity
I had INT - EH - GRIT - Y

Now it's hard to look right,
In the mirror so gruffy,
Who's got my back now,
Who loves the Duffy?

And all the Tories,
They're out to puff me,
They've got my number,
Don't call me Duffy!

Before I fell in the trap
I had integrity
Where's my integrity
How could they leave me

Before the PMO called
I had integrity
And you should know that

But I'm still Duffy.

Wednesday, 15 May 2013

#duffypickuplines: Social Accountability and the Meme Meat Market



Senator Duffy Repays Inappropriate $90K Gift from PM’s Chief of Staff (Received to Repay Inappropriate $90K Expense Claim)

"My place, or my place?"
"You compensate me."
     #duffypickuplines

Here's why the Conservative Party of Canada ought to love the Duffy meme - it's a perfect example of everything they used to stand for.  Social accountability? Check! Using highly critical humor to pillory someone you've identified as tax-dollar gobbler? I guess they still kinda do that, unless it's one of their own (but not staff, because they don't count).


Above all, though, the #duffypickuplines meme is a great example of how the free market really works: people are competing to come up with the funniest, most biting line.  Wanting to get public recognition for their wittiness, folk are tweeting and retweeting their lines, while the really catchy ones get mass-tweeted organically.  It also helps to have celebrity endorsements, like a retweet from Andrew Coyne.  Of course, some novel folk come up with the idea of posting rather than retweeting someone's line, trying to sound more witty than they are.  You get a lot of that in the free market, too.

Everyone is producing and consuming in a specific market space, generating demand for more of the same, creating more options for jokes to choose from.

It's the market place for ideas.  And it looks an awful lot like a meat market - the branding, the wingmen and sheer volume is what generates attraction, or failing that - originality.  Money isn't the goal here, as it never is - it's brand, klout, power that has ultimate appeal.  That's why so many people are dedicating unpaid time in trying to one-up each other; it's the status, stupid!

Is any of this useful in terms of economic growth? Perhaps not directly, but the decline of civility, planning and transparency in government hasn't been good either.  The whole meme movement is a modern-day shivaree, reminding the Duffys of the world that new House or not, it's OUR world he lives in and our money he's playing with.  The underlying theme is that of the collective holding an individual accountable.

There's an interesting parallel here; Anonymous couldn't exit without the Internet and is seen as a bit of an E-Vigilante.  Memes, on the other hand, equates to the mob - they don't need to be faceless because they are the face of society.

In response to all this free market of ideas tweetishness, the goal of Team Harper will be to change the channel by attacking something else or convincing themselves waiting it out will work.  Both, oddly enough, are limbic reactions to threat.  Laissez-faire, it would seem, doesn't work so well when accountability's involved.

Meanwhile, someone's sitting at a desk somewhere with a quiet smile, knowing that they got the ball rolling by coming up with the hashtag in the first place.  Everyone's had a laugh and pushed each other further, but by the very act of being selfish, they have promoted the basic message.

There's something in that.
 
Aaron Lynett / National Post

Tuesday, 14 May 2013

Equal vs Equitable Opportunity



I don't want my sons to have the same opportunities as me.

In fact, I'm certain they won't - many of the opportunities I had, like being among the first to use a scroll-ball computer in small-town school would be of little use to them in their modern context.  While I enjoyed growing up in a small town, they will enjoy growing up in a big city - a different experience providing different value.  They likely won't know what they've lost any more than they'll know what they gained; such is the nature of experience.

The goal isn't to have my kids be a replica of me; the context of my youth simply doesn't exist any more.  If I had started off with the exact same opportunities as my parents had, I would have been at a significant disadvantage.  It's not about ensuring equal access for subsequent generations to horses and bayonets, but empowering them to maximize their use of tomorrow's tools.

For the same reason, I don't want a deaf child, or the child of refugee parents, or a child with severe OCD to have the exact same opportunities my kids have.  If I want my son to live in the safest, most opportunity-filled world possible, it's in my best interest to ensure all kids have the tools they need to succeed and offer meaningful contributions to the world.  Simply offering them all the same opportunities doesn't do that.

By ensuring the deaf child has the necessary supports to achieve their maximum potential; to help the child of refugee child bridge language, cultural and experiential gaps and ensuring the child with OCD has the internal and external supports they need to function at their best, I'm motivating them, empowering them and creating a better environment for my sons to thrive in.
 
At the same time, I'm exposing my own child to more diversity from which he can learn and daily examples proving that nothing needs to hold you back, given the right accommodations and support.

That's not about equal opportunity - truly, no two people are created equal.  It's about providing equitable opportunity, ensuring everyone has the accommodations they need to reach and contribute their personal maximum potential.

This isn't something people are instinctively good at - after all, our lenses on the world are shaped by our own experience.   If we aren't exposed to diversity (of language, culture, technology, differing forms of social interaction) we have precious little cognitive capital to start with - this is why I don't bemoan the fact I didn't grow up on a farm any more than my kids feel the loss of not growing up in a small town.  
 
If you aren't familiar with, say, the cultural depth of Cantonese, you might think a native Cantonese speaker is dumb for not getting your ironic jokes.  If you don't know how OCD works, the person suffering from it might seem to be annoying and stubborn - and you might not know how to look past your own feelings to find the value offering they present.

We have a society that's largely predicated on independent, individual achievement without sufficient thought given to context.  It was easy, natural even for Mitt Romney to decry the 47%; it validated his position of laissez-faire governance much as the same inaction was justified by those who dismissed Suffrage and the Civil Rights movement.

It is a great challenge for the disadvantaged of this world to get into the head space of society's Class of Success; were it easier, they'd be in that class themselves.  This is why it's so encouraging to know that people who have overcome personal challenges to find success - people like the Economic Club of Canada President Rhiannon Traill or Public Servant Katie Kilmartin, who is deaf - are driven to create equitable opportunities for success among their peers, helping to bridge the gap between their worlds.

There's another way to bridge this gap; those with resources are far better positioned to explore the world if the disadvantaged than the reverse.  By participating (not just donating) in charitable activities in marginalised communities, the well to-do of the world can see first-hand how great a chasm of experience and opportunity exists between success and far too many people in this world.  With that understanding and a sense of how success is achieved, these 1% can also serve to bridge the gap.
 
This is not idealistic, nor is it irrationally optimistic.  It's simply good planning.
 

Monday, 13 May 2013

How Advertisers Can More Effectively Engage Consumers on Pinterest (Tony Zito)

 
 
At the end of last year, Pinterest introduced business accounts in response to the growing amount of companies that were making their presence known on the social media network. So if you're an advertiser that hasn't yet incorporated Pinterest into your digital marketing strategy, now is the time. Especially when you consider that, as the site continues to evolve, Pinterest is investing more resources in helping businesses get the most from it.
 
We've all heard the impressive stat that 47 percent of U.S. online consumers have made a purchase based on recommendations from Pinterest. What can advertisers do to boost that number and more effectively engage consumers on the site?
 
With this question in mind, here are some recommendations to help advertisers expand their Pinterest presence.
 
Build a community. It's a social network after all, so why not build a community with your biggest pinners? You can recognize and reward them through contests or sneak peeks at upcoming product lines while also getting valuable insight about your business and adding a human touch to the online experience.
 
Collaborate. Work within your specific business community as well as the Pinterest community at large by sharing, following, and repinning their images. For example, a home furnishings store may have a community of professional interior decorators as well as hobbyists who will exchange images that spark new ideas. When you authentically engage with other Pinterest users and recognize their efforts, you'll be able to attract them to your boards.
 
Create specialized boards. Go beyond simply posting images to your company's board. Instead, think about themes and events and create specialized boards that are specific to those themes or trends.
 
For example, a wedding board or a back-to-school board that groups related items would hold a consumer's interest as she considers making purchases. Other types of boards you may want to create are daily specials as well as boards that highlight those of your images that are most pinned by users.
 
Drive traffic through different sites. We all know Pinterest is one of the best drivers of traffic, but it doesn't happen on its own. Be sure to insert Pin It buttons throughout your website, on your blog, Facebook page, Twitter feed, and display ads. This makes it easier for fans and followers to repin your images.
 
Focus on fabulous images. Everybody says to make sure your images look great. But more specifically, here's a list of best practices to keep in mind with regard to your images:
  • Avoid pixelated images and make sure the images aren't too big, too small, or too tall, and don't exceed 554 pixels.
  • Don't take images from Google; instead, find and cite the original source.
  • Don't pin Flash content in your banners.
  • Test the images on your own Pinterest account first.
  • Always include descriptions.
  • Combine text and images if you're leading a visitor to a do-it-yourself guide. In fact, the click-through rates for tutorials and DIY pins are 42 percent higher.
  • Note that breathtaking locations and delicious meals are among the most repinned images.
  • Keep in mind that pins related to trending topics see an average of 94 percent increase in click-throughs.
  • If you're going to use an infographic, use an abbreviated version on Pinterest and then lead visitors to your site where they can see the full image.
Write as if your livelihood depended on it. It's easy to overlook the job of writing the descriptions that go along with the images. Yet this is exactly where you want to assign your best copywriters and make sure those descriptions sing with riveting and pithy prose.
 
Visualize through videos. A lot of advertisers wonder whether they should post videos on Pinterest. The short answer is yes. However, before you share your video library, keep the following in mind:
  • Be selective. You know from your website, YouTube, and Vimeo traffic data which videos are most popular, so only include those on Pinterest.
  • Include a great cover image and enticing thumbnails to go with the video.
  • Add annotations with clear calls-to-action. Interestingly, pins with calls-to-action see an 80 percent increase in engagement.
  • Remember that short, punchy videos are the key to attracting and engaging users.
  • Always accurately depict the video content in the titles, descriptions, and tags.
Track your reach and measure your impact. As your company's presence evolves on the site and your reach grows exponentially through pinning and repinning, you'll want to track your reach and regularly assess your progress.
Here are five ways to do this:
  1. Type in the following URL: pinterest.com/source/yourwebsite.com (with your actual domain name inserted in place of yourwebsite.com). This will bring you to a page that allows you to track activities including what's being pinned from your site, who is pinning it, etc.
  2. Work with a Pinterest analytics company such as Curalate or Pinfluencer as another source for measuring your reach and impact on Pinterest.
  3. Google Analytics is also a popular way to assess your performance.
  4. Use image tagging tools such as those from startup Stipple that automate the tagging of images as they travel throughout the web.
  5. Work with display and retargeting companies that have Pinterest expertise. Make sure they offer tools that ensure items in your product feed can be pinned directly to Pinterest without requiring any intermediary steps, and that those feeds and their associated engagement can be accurately measured.
While the advertising industry is still uncovering new ways to monetize Pinterest, those advertisers who invest in experimentation and mastery now will be poised for success as others struggle to play catch-up.